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Oil revenue fluctuations, fiscal policy response and economic growth

Every time the economy recesses the role of intervention as proposed by Keynes again reiterates. However the nature and magnitude of these policies are important to note. It is on this premise that this study examines the impact of oil revenue fluctuations and fiscal policy response on economic growth in Nigeria. The study used data from the Central Bank of Nigeria () Annual Reports and ical Bulletin, the World Bank Indicators and al Bureau of ics. The data was analysed with the aid of multiple regression and Garch model of .The results suggest that Gross fixed capital formation, labour, direct investment, Gross national expenditure and fuel subsidy were significant determinants of GDP. While: inflation, corruption perception index, and the excess crude dummy were not significant determinants of GDP. However, while corruption perception index and excess crude dummy were negatively related to GDP, the rest of the variables displayed a positive relationship with GDP. The study also shows that oil revenue fluctuations significantly and positively impacts on GDP in Nigeria. The study therefore recommends that excess crude account and fuel subsidy should be consciously reinstated for it to perform at full and significantly affect economic growth in a positive sense.

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